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Letter from Asia: The nuanced India-Russia oil picture
The South Asian consumer’s next move could tighten the Middle East oil market overnight
A new oil flows playbook
The assumption that oil markets will re-route and work around sanctions is being tested, and it is the physical infrastructure that is acting as the constraint
China’s new oil position
OPEC, upstream investors and refiners all face strategic shifts now the Asian behemoth is no longer the main engine of global oil demand growth
The AI industry’s coming dominance of oil and gas
Tech giants rather than oil majors could soon upend hydrocarbon markets, starting with North America
Canadian producers positioned to ride out the downcycle
The country’s upstream players have demonstrated resilience to low oil prices and are well positioned to prosper despite a volatile market
OPEC+’s cohesive restraint
The alliance is keeping output on track and the market in balance amid geopolitical tensions and a fragile supply-demand ledger
OPEC+ set to strengthen its hand
The alliance looks to bolster market management credibility by bringing greater clarity and unity to output cuts and producer capacity later in 2026
Oil in 2026: Five factors to watch
Petroleum Economist takes a look at the critical developments that look set to govern the course of the market for this year
Venezuela upends global heavy crude market
The ripple effects of US refiners switching to Venezuela grades will be felt from Canada to China and everywhere in between
Oil’s tanker transformation
The global maritime oil transport sector enters 2026 facing a rare convergence of crude oversupply, record newbuild deliveries and the potential easing of several geopolitical disruptions that have shaped trade flows since 2022
Opec Markets
Ehsan ul-Haq
Paul Hickin,
Editor-in-chief
9 December 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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OPEC presses pause

The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters

OPEC+ now acknowledges there may be challenges ahead in 2026. Although the group raised its output target for December 2025 by 137,000b/d, it is pausing further increases for at least the first quarter of 2026. The group’s production declined in November, falling by around 50,000b/d month-on-month, according to Petroleum Economist figures. This was almost equal to the drop in Nigerian production, which was due to a fire on its Yoho platform. Looking ahead, OPEC+ officials will meet bimonthly due to uncertainty about oversupply and geopolitics, while analysts remain divided over the extent of the surplus. Among OPEC-9 countries, only one small producer did not adhere to OPEC+ targets, althoug

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