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Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The complex crude glut picture
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OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais
Opinion
NOCs Markets
Paul Hickin,
Editor-in-chief
8 June 2024
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Letter from London: OPEC+ well set for Sisyphean task

The impressive agreement struck between OPEC and its allies highlights the powers and limits of the group

OPEC+’s cheerleaders and critics rarely see eye to eye. The cynics call out the alliance as a cartel yet smirk when the market, at least initially, fails to respond to the pact’s production cuts. The advocates champion the group’s strength when it pulls off a complex deal and blame the market for an exaggerated price move downwards. The truth is that the market will dance to its own tune until there is clear evidence a new song is playing. That current track has a bearish baseline and OPEC+ will have to wait until the record stops spinning. Macroeconomic indicators, especially out of the US and China, have had oil watchers scaling back expectations on demand, while an uneasy quantity of oil

Also in this section
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
5 December 2025
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from Saudi Arabia: US-Saudi energy ties enter a new phase
Opinion
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
Opinion
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026

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