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Outlook 2026: Time for a new international energy order
With the arrival of a multipolar world and 4b energy-poor people, the existing energy order is no longer fit for purpose
Outlook 2026: Crude on crude – How shale oil flipped the script on the global barrel
Heavy, sour crude and shale oil will battle for market relevance, but it may not be the sweetest barrels that taste victory
Outlook 2026: LNG markets and the overhang
A third wave of LNG supply is coming, and with it a likely oversupply of the fuel by 2028
Outlook 2026: The next oil shock – From peak demand mirage to structural tightness
Oil prices look set to come under pressure next year as oversupply hits, but longer-term the risk is underinvestment as demand continues to grow past 2030
OPEC presses pause
The group’s oil production declined in November, our latest analysis finds, amid divided sentiment over market balances and geopolitical jitters
Learning from oil’s supercycle miss
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The complex crude glut picture
The swelling crude supply story involves the key plot twists of reluctant buyers, limited oil stocks and refiners playing the long game
Alberta’s energy hub sees silver lining
US tariffs bolster Alberta’s Industrial Heartland exports to Asia
Letter from Abu Dhabi: ADNOC’s evolution putting it atop the energy chain
Once a national oil champion, the company is now so much more
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais
Opinion
NOCs Markets
Paul Hickin,
Editor-in-chief
8 June 2024
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Letter from London: OPEC+ well set for Sisyphean task

The impressive agreement struck between OPEC and its allies highlights the powers and limits of the group

OPEC+’s cheerleaders and critics rarely see eye to eye. The cynics call out the alliance as a cartel yet smirk when the market, at least initially, fails to respond to the pact’s production cuts. The advocates champion the group’s strength when it pulls off a complex deal and blame the market for an exaggerated price move downwards. The truth is that the market will dance to its own tune until there is clear evidence a new song is playing. That current track has a bearish baseline and OPEC+ will have to wait until the record stops spinning. Macroeconomic indicators, especially out of the US and China, have had oil watchers scaling back expectations on demand, while an uneasy quantity of oil

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The Latin American producer’s crude prospects rely on a multi-pronged approach where even the relatively easy wins will take considerable time, effort and cost
Outlook 2026: China’s ‘electrostate’ vision
Outlook 2026
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While many forecasters are reasserting the importance of oil and gas, petrostates should be under no illusion things are changing, and faster than they might think
Southeast Asia’s digital age requires the right energy mix
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Indonesia and Malaysia are at the dawn of breathtaking digital capabilities. Their energy infrastructure must keep up with their ambitions
Outlook 2006: The North Sea’s next chapter – From backbone to blueprint
Outlook 2026
8 January 2026
The next five years will be critical for the North Sea, and it will be policy not geology that will decide the basin’s future

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