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The demand destruction timebomb
It is not a case of if or when, but the length and magnitude of economic damage from elevated oil prices
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The US-Iran conflict demonstrates the need for diversification in several senses of the word. It also exposes the limits of Washington applying pressure on major oil and gas producers it considers geopolitical adversaries
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IEA executive director Fatih Birol, far right, at the G7 meeting in May with, from left, US president Joe Biden, Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau, Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese, and European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen
Markets
Neil Atkinson
2 June 2023
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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IEA highlights energy divergence as milestone 50th nears

Energy body punches above its weight as it provides direction amid crossroads

The IEA will celebrate its 50th birthday in late 2024. The agency was born out of the energy crisis caused by the October 1973 Yom Kippur War, which led leading oil producers to suspend sales to major consumers. This, plus price increases announced by Opec, ushered in a period of stagflation and economic turmoil. In 1972, the price of Dubai crude (Brent had not been invented back then) averaged $1.90/bl. In 1974, it averaged $10.41/bl. In the ten years before the Yom Kippur War, global inflation averaged 3.6pc/yr; in the ten years afterwards—which included another major price spike in the aftermath of the Iranian Revolution and the Iran-Iraq war—it averaged 11.6pc. Industrialised countries,

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