Oil set for sweet-sour rebalancing
The unusual premiums sour grades have enjoyed over sweet may be coming to an end
An imbalance in sweet-sour crude supply has been a key feature of the oil market since 2017. But fundamentals and price spreads suggest the historically elevated value sour grades have held relative to sweet may finally get eroded. The altered sweet-sour dynamic over the last three years or more has been driven not only by Opec+ cuts and US sanctions on Iran and Venezuela, reducing the availability of sour grades, but also the growth of US shale, boosting supply of sweeter barrels—and transforming the quality of the marginal barrel entering the market. This imbalance has impacted trade flows, with growing US exports to Europe and Asia. And it has also disrupted price differentials, including
Also in this section
21 February 2025
While large-scale planned LNG schemes in sub-Saharan Africa have faced fresh problems, FLNG projects are stepping into that space
20 February 2025
Greater social mobility means increased global demand for refined fuels and petrochemical products, with Asia leading the way in the expansion of refining capacity
19 February 2025
The EU would do well to ease its gas storage requirements to avoid heavy purchase costs this summer, with the targets having created market distortion while giving sellers a significant advantage over buyers
18 February 2025
Deliveries to China decline by around 1m b/d from move to curb crude exports to Shandong port, putting Iran under further economic pressure
