Opec+ deal failure sends oil spiraling
Brent price falls from $45/bl to $25/bl in early trade, before partial recovery to $36/bl at 10am, as production surge threatened amid weak demand
Global oil markets were sent into turmoil on Sunday off the back of the Opec+ group’s failure to agree a production reduction target. It signals an end to the post-2016 policy of protecting price at the expense of losing market share, and implies the group could produce far more than expected at a time of sharply falling demand. Poor oil demand forecasts had weakened sharply due to the spread of Covid-19, on top of an already subdued outlook. “The potential for a strong recovery remains a distant prospect,” says Niamh McBurney, head of Mena at global risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft. “A production free-for-all has the potential to hurt vulnerable Opec producers, such as Iraq and Nigeria
Also in this section
24 January 2025
Domestic companies in Nigeria and other African jurisdictions are buying assets from existing majors they view as more likely to deliver production upside under their stewardship
23 January 2025
The end of transit, though widely anticipated, leaves Europe paying a third more for gas than a year ago and greatly exposed to supply shocks
23 January 2025
The country’s government and E&P companies are leaving no stone unturned in their quest to increase domestic crude output as BP–ONGC tie-up leads the way
22 January 2025
The return of Donald Trump gives further evidence of ‘big oil’ as an investable asset, with the only question being whether anyone is really surprised