Opec and IEA diverge on world’s capacity cushion
As trade tensions and disruptions ripple through the market, Opec and the IEA disagree on the risks to supply
Global energy bodies parted ways this week on the expected impact of oil capacity risks caused by sanctions and production outages in Venezuela, Libya and elsewhere. While the International Energy Agency's monthly report projected that capacity could be "stretched to the limit ", Opec said rising supply, particularly from its rivals, will easily meet slowing global demand growth. The prospect of tightened markets saw WTI prices spike as high as $74.77 a barrel in recent weeks, frustrating Opec's efforts to moderate prices, announced following the group's Vienna meeting at the end of June. But this week global trade tensions, a revival of Libyan production and US assurances over Iran sancti
Also in this section
5 December 2025
Mistaken assumptions around an oil bull run that never happened are a warning over the talk of a supply glut
4 December 2025
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
3 December 2025
Aramco’s pursuit of $30b in US gas partnerships marks a strategic pivot. The US gains capital and certainty; Saudi Arabia gains access, flexibility and a new export future
2 December 2025
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026






