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Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
China’s oil plan comes together
The country’s rapid output growth is an example that other producers could learn from
China seizes oil security opportunity
A combination of geopolitical uncertainty and OPEC+ barrels has driven a renewed focus on building strategic oil stocks despite flagging demand
Arctic LNG comes in from the cold
Beijing now appears prepared to accept discounted Russian LNG, even at the cost of heightened sanctions risk
China’s role as oil buffer stock manager
The country’s intervention in global oil markets to stabilise prices could last well into 2026
Power of Siberia 2: Deal or no deal?
There is a good strategic case for China to sign a deal for gas supplies via the proposed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, but Beijing’s concerns around over-dependence on a single supplier and desire to drive down the price make it relatively unlikely a contract will be finalised this year
China creates two-tier oil dynamic
There is a bifurcation in the global oil market as China’s stockpiling contrasts with reduced inventories elsewhere
China’s oil output to scale new heights
New discoveries and stabilisation of legacy fields’ output have helped China reverse the decline and be a top-five producer in recent years
India to help Asia spearhead global refining
Shifting demand patterns leaves most populous nation primed to become downstream leader as China and the West retreat
Electric taxis in Shenzhen, China
Renewables Wind Solar Electric cars China Covid-19
Aaron Woolner
Peter Ramsay
5 November 2020
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Cleantech to play limited role in determining Asian demand

Oil and gas requirements in the region are unlikely to hinge on wind and solar build-out or a move to electric vehicles, at least in the near-term

Asia-Pacific countries are setting ambitious targets for expanding their renewable energy capacities as part of pathways to lower-carbon and even net-zero futures, while electric vehicles (EVs) are growing their market share. But, for regional hydrocarbons demand, these may well remain largely sideshows for the next few years. The installed capacity of renewables projects in Asia is set to reach 815GW by 2025, according to consultancy Rystad Energy. This is an increase from a 2020 level of 517GW—with solar capacity rising from 215GW to 382GW and onshore wind from 266GW to 341GW. Gas is obviously more at risk than oil of being directly impacted by renewables as a competing provider of electro

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