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Outlook 2026: South America’s oil growth story masks hidden risks
Brazil, Guyana and Argentina to lead additional crude supply increases, but the rest of the region remains patchy
Brazil could be an energy trailblazer
The oil powerhouse will not just join the top five crude exporters in the coming years, it may be a model for how petrostates balance growth, policy and sustainability
Brazil looks to solve its energy security travails
Despite significant crude projections over the next five years, Latin America’s largest economy could be forced to start importing unless action is taken
Brazil rides a production wave
Latin America’s largest economy expects big uptick in crude this year with the imminent arrival of several FPSOs
Hydrocarbon Processing Refining Databook 2025: Americas
The US and Canada are boosting capacity builds for renewable diesel and biofuels, while Central and South American countries are investing heavily to upgrade and expand their domestic refining sectors
Latin America’s evolving crude outlook
New supply from Argentina, Brazil and Guyana is rich in middle distillates, but optimism in terms of volume growth remains tempered by regulatory and technical risks as well as price volatility
Brazil awaits contentious Equatorial Margin call
Political rancour is rising as politicians appeal for environmental licence to explore the mouth of the Amazon
Brazil seeks greater oil market influence
Despite environmental criticism, President Lula sees opportunity to build bridges with OPEC+ allies
Brazilian upstream enjoys bumper year
Soaring pre-salt production sees Latin America’s largest country pull away from the local competition
Rise of Brics challenges oil world order
The five economies are shaking up global markets, and they could be on the cusp of a major break from the existing order
New Petrobras CEO Jean Paul Prates
Petrobras Brazil
Charles Waine
8 February 2023
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Petrobras faces another period of uncertainty

Investors are wary about government intervention as the NOC welcomes its latest CEO

Barely more than three months since Brazil’s elections it is, once again, all change at the top for state energy giant Petrobras. Former president Jair Bolsonaro may have burned through four CEOs in as many years, but returning President Lula da Silva has been quick to appoint his own political ally to the hotseat. And oil market watchers must weigh up the implications. Key priorities for the state-run company’s new top man include boosting the upstream business, in which it has already committed billions this year, a reluctance to shed some of its refining operations and keep Petrobras as a fully integrated business, and moves to curb inflation by delinking domestic fuel prices from global

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