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European gas: From bad to much worse
The continent’s inventories were already depleted before conflict erupted in the Middle East, causing prices to spike ahead of the crucial summer refilling season
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While broadly supportive of EU efforts to tackle methane emissions, representatives of the gas industry warn it could deter supply contracting if timelines and compliance requirements are not made more pragmatic
Gas Markets
Joseph Murphy
27 June 2025
Follow @PetroleumEcon
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Gas pricing finds a new norm

Gas-on-gas competition pricing has grown its share of consumption significantly over the past two decades, primarily at the expense of oil-price-escalation pricing, according to the IGU

Gas-on-gas (GOG) competition, where gas prices are determined by the interplay between direct gas supply and demand, accounted for close to half of total gas consumption in 2024, roughly in line with the level seen a year earlier, according to the International Gas Union’s latest Wholesale Gas Price Survey. Between 2005 and 2024, the share of GOG rose from 31.5% to 49.1%, mainly at the expense of oil-price-escalation (OPE) pricing, where the price is linked through a base price and escalation clause to oil or other fuels, the survey noted. The share of OPE shrank from 24% to 18.5% over the same period. Increased GOG pricing in LNG has been a key driver of this trend in recent years, thanks t

Also in this section
European gas: From bad to much worse
4 March 2026
The continent’s inventories were already depleted before conflict erupted in the Middle East, causing prices to spike ahead of the crucial summer refilling season
Trump’s gasoline price pledge paradox
4 March 2026
The US president has repeatedly promised to lower gasoline prices, but this ambition conflicts with his parallel aim to increase drilling and could be upended by his war against Iran
Explainer: Fujairah on high alert
4 March 2026
With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed following US-Israel strikes and Iran’s retaliatory escalation, Fujairah has become the region’s critical pressure release valve—and is now under serious threat
Middle East oil vulnerabilities have been exposed
3 March 2026
The killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei in US–Israeli strikes marks the most serious escalation in the region in decades and a bigger potential threat to the oil market than the start of the Russia-Ukraine crisis

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