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Outlook 2026: Freedom gas, captive buyer
Japan once wrote the book on LNG supply diversification, but it is now looking increasingly reliant on a single major provider
Outlook 2026: LNG markets and the overhang
A third wave of LNG supply is coming, and with it a likely oversupply of the fuel by 2028
Outlook 2026: The geopolitical weaponisation of LNG
Global gas markets are being reshaped by politics as much as by gas prices and fundamentals. From Washington to Doha, Brussels and Beijing, LNG has become a strategic weapon as much as a commodity
Outlook 2026: LNG’s Pacific FID race heats up – Ramp-ups, rejuvenations and restarts
The US Gulf dominated investment decisions this year, but Asian importers’ concerns over supplier diversity mean the focus is shifting
Explainer: What do Russia’s oil giants own overseas?
Time is running out for Lukoil and Rosneft to divest international assets that will be mostly rendered useless to them when the US sanctions deadline arrives in mid-December
Letter from London: Oil’s golden triangle
The interplay between OPEC+, China and the US will define oil markets throughout 2026
Tax policy will shape Russia’s oil future
The consensus among market observers is that the country’s oil output will fall in the long term. Yet few recognise how Moscow’s shifting tax regime is designed to keep the next barrel commercially viable
The curious case of oil-on-water
The market is facing being drowned in excess crude, but one caveat is that a large chunk is due to buyers reluctant to snap up sanctioned barrels
Lukoil loses its growth prospects
The Russian firm made a significant attempt to expand overseas over the past two decades but is now trying to divest its global operations
Explainer: How the EU will wean itself off Russian gas
Questions remain about how the phase-out will be implemented and enforced in practice
The Beihai LNG terminal in southern China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
LNG China Russia
Tim Crawford
17 October 2025
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Arctic LNG comes in from the cold

Beijing now appears prepared to accept discounted Russian LNG, even at the cost of heightened sanctions risk

Russia’s long-delayed and heavily sanctioned Arctic LNG 2 project has begun regular LNG shipments to a single port in China, with Washington so far refraining from imposing secondary sanctions on the recipient—possibly holding fire until there is movement in the Ukraine peace process. Even so, the current flow is unlikely to bring output anywhere near the full capacity of the project’s first 6.6mt/yr train, particularly as the winter navigation season looms, when Russia will lack sufficient ice-class vessels to traverse the frozen Northern Sea Route (NSR). The US, under the Biden administration, imposed sanctions on Arctic LNG 2 in November 2023, prompting TotalEnergies and other Western off

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