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Tom Young
12 August 2022
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2050 scenarios vary on policy unknowns

Demand for low-carbon hydrogen in 2050 could be anywhere between 300mn t/yr and over 800mn t/yr depending on penetration into key sectors after 2030

Demand for low-carbon hydrogen in 2050 could be anywhere between 300mn t/yr and over 800mn t/yr, according to an analysis of various different organisations’ modelling and scenarios by Hydrogen Economist. Estimates for hydrogen’s share of total global energy use range between 5pc and 20pc. The wide range of projections is a result of uncertainties around future policy, sectoral strategies and the degree to which countries are able to achieve their nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to the Paris Agreement. Much of the uncertainty around the models’ projections comes in after 2030. Of the three main scenarios analysed by Hydrogen Economist—those of risk management group DNV, think tank

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Also in this section
Imperial Oil invests $560mn in Canadian low-carbon diesel facility
30 January 2023
The firm will use blue hydrogen produced by Air Products alongside biofeedstock
Equinor awards H2H Saltend Feed to Linde
30 January 2023
The Norwegian energy firm has also tapped BOC for operation and maintenance
Hydrogen growth to accelerate from 2030s – BP
30 January 2023
The major’s latest outlook anticipates slow growth for low-carbon hydrogen this decade, with demand expected to rise tenfold between 2030 and 2050 in two of three scenarios
Abu Dhabi steps on the emissions-reduction accelerator
27 January 2023
State-owned energy companies are intensifying efforts to decarbonise the emirate’s crude oil production and carve out a leading role in the nascent global hydrogen trade

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