Hydrogen demand models vary widely

Collation of 14 different scenarios by World Energy Council shows uncertainty over sector’s growth

Global hydrogen demand scenarios from different organisations vary greatly, with the lowest modelling showing 77mn t/yr of demand by 2030 and the highest showing 212mn t/yr by the same year. Current global hydrogen demand is a little over 75mn t/yr. The varying scenarios are the results of different levels of policy action being modelled, with the least ambitious being consultancy’s Acil Allen’s ‘low scenario’ and the most ambitious being the IEA’s ‘net zero scenario’. The Acil Allen ‘low scenario’ sees the world missing the goals of the Paris Agreement, with a 50pc chance of limiting the peak in global temperatures to between 2°C and 4°C. The IEA’s net-zero scenario sees a 50pc chance of li